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Red64
236336.8
384B15.3
88830.6
Blue99
33931.4
527936.5
253730.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821050501502006499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#29
36.80.0
36.836.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End8.3
red by 0.3
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Second
888
#24
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
blue by 0.8
339
#2
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
blue by 15.3
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
37%Capture odds32%Capture odds