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Red132
169041.7
333935.6
474426.3
Blue122
503839.1
263035.7
193721.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12911450100150200132122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.1
41.641.7
Auto10.4
Teleop25.1
End6.2
red by 2.6
5038
#12
39.10.1
39.239.1
Auto11.2
Teleop21.8
End6.1
Second
35.60.1
35.435.6
Auto12.0
Teleop18.2
End5.4
blue by 0.1
35.70.1
35.835.7
Auto10.6
Teleop20.3
End4.8
Third
4744
#29
26.30.1
26.226.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.4
End4.7
red by 5.1
1937
#27
21.20.1
21.421.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End3.8