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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Israel Regional
Red109
157432.9
194326.6
459020.2
Blue165
555427.4
223035.5
221223.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96107050150109165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#7
32.90.1
32.9→33.0
Auto7.9
Teleop21.6
End3.4
blue by 2.6
2230
#5
35.51.0
35.1→36.1
Auto8.3
Teleop22.4
End4.8
Second
1943
#4
26.60.1
26.5→26.7
Auto9.0
Teleop14.7
End2.9
blue by 0.8
5554
#22
27.41.0
27.0→28.0
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Third
4590
#37
20.20.1
20.1→20.2
Auto8.4
Teleop9.1
End2.7
blue by 2.9
2212
#42
23.01.1
22.6→23.7
Auto3.7
Teleop16.6
End2.8