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Red161
503839.1
263035.7
193721.2
Blue102
157725.0
595128.8
308320.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1198850100150200161102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5038
#12
39.10.5
38.839.2
Auto11.2
Teleop21.8
End6.1
red by 10.3
28.80.3
28.428.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End3.9
Second
35.70.5
35.335.8
Auto10.6
Teleop20.3
End4.8
red by 10.7
1577
#16
25.00.3
24.624.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End3.1
Third
1937
#27
21.20.5
20.921.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End3.8
red by 1.0
3083
#33
20.20.2
19.820.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End3.9