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Red34
604916.6
623017.2
383513.7
Blue75
331623.9
433816.0
157620.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465501001502003475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6230
#54
17.21.3
17.416.1
Auto9.8
Teleop6.7
End0.7
blue by 6.8
3316
#36
23.92.0
19.521.5
Auto9.6
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Second
6049
#43
16.61.3
14.913.6
Auto2.8
Teleop12.1
End1.7
blue by 3.9
1576
#45
20.52.0
17.619.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Third
3835
#55
13.71.3
13.412.1
Auto1.6
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4338
#28
16.02.0
14.716.7
Auto1.4
Teleop10.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed