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Red70
555427.4
195412.9
595128.8
Blue80
223123.6
614920.8
598725.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5757203040507080907080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.9
17.818.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End3.9
red by 3.5
5987
#10
25.32.4
18.621.0
Auto7.6
Teleop13.9
End3.8
Second
5554
#22
27.40.9
25.826.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.1
red by 3.7
2231
#17
23.62.4
22.024.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End2.9
Third
1954
#59
12.90.9
13.714.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.1
blue by 7.9
6149
#15
20.82.4
12.515.0
Auto7.4
Teleop9.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed