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Red39
431920.0
478415.1
459020.2
Blue40
503839.1
432018.7
479413.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496002040801001201401603940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#37
20.21.7
15.013.3
Auto8.4
Teleop9.1
End2.7
blue by 18.9
5038
#12
39.11.9
24.022.2
Auto11.2
Teleop21.8
End6.1
Second
4319
#51
20.01.7
18.216.5
Auto7.5
Teleop9.1
End3.3
red by 1.3
4320
#41
18.71.9
20.819.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End4.2
Third
4784
#63
15.11.7
16.114.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End2.8
red by 1.2
4794
#50
13.91.9
11.910.0
Auto1.9
Teleop11.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed