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Red69
223123.6
599028.0
441620.8
Blue65
165730.6
383513.7
307523.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655101001502002503006965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#14
28.00.8
21.322.2
Auto6.8
Teleop16.3
End4.9
blue by 2.6
1657
#11
30.61.5
22.223.7
Auto6.8
Teleop18.2
End5.6
Second
2231
#17
23.60.8
24.525.3
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End2.9
red by 0.5
3075
#49
23.11.5
17.519.0
Auto3.0
Teleop15.2
End4.9
Third
4416
#30
20.80.8
15.716.5
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End1.3
red by 7.1
3835
#55
13.71.5
12.113.6
Auto1.6
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed