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Red80
604916.6
321126.5
614920.8
Blue72
478415.1
474426.3
263035.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477201001508072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.52.8
21.224.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End3.6
blue by 9.2
35.70.7
31.231.9
Auto10.6
Teleop20.3
End4.8
Second
6149
#15
20.82.8
15.017.8
Auto7.4
Teleop9.3
End4.1
blue by 5.6
4744
#29
26.30.7
20.421.1
Auto10.3
Teleop11.4
End4.7
Third
6049
#43
16.62.8
13.616.4
Auto2.8
Teleop12.1
End1.7
red by 1.5
4784
#63
15.10.7
14.415.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed