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Red61
561422.6
194217.1
527322.7
Blue39
574719.6
195412.9
221223.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54543040506070806139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5273
#40
22.71.0
18.219.2
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End3.2
blue by 0.3
2212
#42
23.01.5
19.918.3
Auto3.7
Teleop16.6
End2.8
Second
5614
#13
22.61.0
19.320.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 3.0
5747
#52
19.61.5
18.416.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.0
Third
1942
#35
17.11.0
14.715.7
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End2.2
red by 4.2
1954
#59
12.91.5
14.513.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed