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Red100
610425.8
440615.5
169041.7
Blue59
223035.5
433816.0
529122.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7555010015020010059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.73.4
34.738.1
Auto10.4
Teleop25.1
End6.2
red by 6.2
35.50.3
21.121.4
Auto8.3
Teleop22.4
End4.8
Second
6104
#26
25.83.4
21.424.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.6
End5.5
red by 3.0
5291
#31
22.90.3
18.618.9
Auto8.3
Teleop10.0
End4.6
Third
4406
#53
15.53.4
13.616.9
Auto2.6
Teleop10.4
End2.5
blue by 0.5
4338
#28
16.00.3
16.717.0
Auto1.4
Teleop10.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed