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Red57
221223.0
440615.5
338823.6
Blue85
595128.8
383513.7
157432.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586502040801001205785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3388
#20
23.60.1
22.222.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.6
End3.0
blue by 9.4
32.92.0
27.829.7
Auto7.9
Teleop21.6
End3.4
Second
2212
#42
23.00.1
18.318.3
Auto3.7
Teleop16.6
End2.8
blue by 5.7
28.82.0
21.123.0
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End3.9
Third
4406
#53
15.50.1
16.916.9
Auto2.6
Teleop10.4
End2.5
red by 1.8
3835
#55
13.72.0
13.615.5
Auto1.6
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed