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Red63
331623.9
529122.9
464916.3
Blue82
165730.6
571516.7
306523.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575830405070806382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#36
23.90.8
19.019.8
Auto9.6
Teleop10.2
End4.1
blue by 6.7
1657
#11
30.62.9
23.726.6
Auto6.8
Teleop18.2
End5.6
Second
5291
#31
22.90.8
18.919.7
Auto8.3
Teleop10.0
End4.6
blue by 0.7
3065
#39
23.62.9
18.321.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Third
4649
#61
16.30.8
17.918.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End3.0
blue by 0.4
5715
#32
16.72.9
13.616.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed