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Red107
169041.7
193721.2
431920.0
Blue52
458624.7
614920.8
475718.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816305010015020010752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.72.4
41.644.0
Auto10.4
Teleop25.1
End6.2
red by 17.0
4586
#18
24.71.3
27.726.4
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End5.1
Second
1937
#27
21.22.4
17.219.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End3.8
red by 0.5
6149
#15
20.81.3
18.016.7
Auto7.4
Teleop9.3
End4.1
Third
4319
#51
20.02.4
16.919.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.1
End3.3
red by 1.1
4757
#44
18.91.3
17.816.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed