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Red72
563619.7
158017.4
466119.7
Blue75
595128.8
157620.5
303429.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437801001507275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4661
#56
19.72.8
17.320.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End3.4
blue by 9.3
29.00.5
23.924.4
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End5.2
Second
5636
#23
19.72.8
14.817.6
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
blue by 9.1
28.80.5
23.023.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End3.9
Third
1580
#57
17.42.8
14.917.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.8
End3.5
blue by 3.1
1576
#45
20.50.5
23.924.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed