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Red100
503839.1
433816.0
563519.4
Blue59
571516.7
307523.1
221318.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575830405070809010010059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5038
#12
39.14.3
27.331.6
Auto11.2
Teleop21.8
End6.1
red by 16.0
3075
#49
23.10.4
22.122.5
Auto3.0
Teleop15.2
End4.9
Second
5635
#46
19.44.3
12.416.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End4.1
red by 1.3
2213
#47
18.20.4
17.117.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Third
4338
#28
16.04.3
16.921.1
Auto1.4
Teleop10.1
End4.5
blue by 0.7
5715
#32
16.70.4
16.516.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed