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Red56
169041.7
604916.6
432018.7
Blue77
157432.9
307523.1
563619.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81740501001502005677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.73.5
44.040.5
Auto10.4
Teleop25.1
End6.2
red by 8.8
32.90.5
32.633.1
Auto7.9
Teleop21.6
End3.4
Second
4320
#41
18.73.5
16.412.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End4.2
blue by 4.5
3075
#49
23.10.5
22.523.0
Auto3.0
Teleop15.2
End4.9
Third
6049
#43
16.63.5
17.213.7
Auto2.8
Teleop12.1
End1.7
blue by 3.1
5636
#23
19.70.5
17.618.0
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed