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Red87
263035.7
303429.0
458624.7
Blue72
165730.6
555427.4
194416.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90690501001502008772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.3
33.533.8
Auto10.6
Teleop20.3
End4.8
red by 5.1
1657
#11
30.60.4
28.828.4
Auto6.8
Teleop18.2
End5.6
Second
29.00.3
24.424.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End5.2
red by 1.6
5554
#22
27.40.4
26.025.6
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Third
4586
#18
24.70.3
26.426.7
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End5.1
red by 8.7
1944
#60
16.00.4
15.715.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed