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Red57
527322.7
478415.1
306523.6
Blue61
157725.0
433816.0
561422.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526702040801001201401605761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#39
23.60.5
18.519.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End4.0
blue by 1.5
1577
#16
25.00.2
19.719.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End3.1
Second
5273
#40
22.70.5
20.320.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End3.2
red by 0.1
5614
#13
22.60.2
22.222.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Third
4784
#63
15.10.5
13.714.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End2.8
blue by 0.9
4338
#28
16.00.2
21.120.9
Auto1.4
Teleop10.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed