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Red74
431920.0
331623.9
599028.0
Blue83
223123.6
223035.5
333935.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910001502007483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#14
28.01.2
23.724.9
Auto6.8
Teleop16.3
End4.9
blue by 7.6
35.60.9
34.233.4
Auto12.0
Teleop18.2
End5.4
Second
3316
#36
23.91.2
20.421.5
Auto9.6
Teleop10.2
End4.1
blue by 11.5
35.50.9
30.029.2
Auto8.3
Teleop22.4
End4.8
Third
4319
#51
20.01.2
19.320.4
Auto7.5
Teleop9.1
End3.3
blue by 3.6
2231
#17
23.60.9
26.625.7
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed