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Red71
563619.7
563519.4
221223.0
Blue84
474426.3
306523.6
513524.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61652040801007184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#42
23.01.2
21.422.6
Auto3.7
Teleop16.6
End2.8
blue by 3.3
4744
#29
26.32.1
21.523.6
Auto10.3
Teleop11.4
End4.7
Second
5636
#23
19.71.1
18.619.7
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
blue by 5.1
5135
#25
24.82.3
19.621.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End4.0
Third
5635
#46
19.41.2
19.720.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 4.2
3065
#39
23.62.1
21.023.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed