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Red81
614920.8
610425.8
574719.6
Blue66
459020.2
440615.5
441620.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655301001508166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6104
#26
25.81.5
23.825.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.6
End5.5
red by 5.1
4416
#30
20.80.8
17.918.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Second
6149
#15
20.81.4
19.320.8
Auto7.4
Teleop9.3
End4.1
red by 0.6
4590
#37
20.20.8
20.921.6
Auto8.4
Teleop9.1
End2.7
Third
5747
#52
19.61.4
18.219.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.0
red by 4.1
4406
#53
15.50.8
14.715.5
Auto2.6
Teleop10.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed