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Red40
157432.9
596114.9
565417.0
Blue82
195412.9
478415.1
503839.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8061020401001201401604082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.93.6
36.532.9
Auto7.9
Teleop21.6
End3.4
blue by 6.2
5038
#12
39.11.9
36.838.7
Auto11.2
Teleop21.8
End6.1
Second
5654
#38
17.03.4
20.417.0
Auto8.0
Teleop8.1
End0.9
red by 1.9
4784
#63
15.11.9
13.215.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End2.8
Third
5961
#48
14.93.4
18.314.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End3.3
red by 2.0
1954
#59
12.92.0
12.414.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed