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Red67
314030.3
549229.0
325923.8
Blue86
426531.6
150158.2
512515.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811130501001502006786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
Unranked
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto8.2
Teleop17.6
End4.5
blue by 27.9
1501
Unranked
58.20.0
58.258.2
Auto18.0
Teleop28.5
End11.7
Second
5492
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End6.7
blue by 2.6
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
3259
Unranked
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
red by 8.7
5125
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds10%Capture odds