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Red52
3140B15.1
463024.4
384316.2
Blue64
4265B15.8
1746B19.9
502227.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566601001502002503003504005264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4630
Unranked
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
blue by 2.7
5022
Unranked
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Second
3843
Unranked
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 3.7
1746B
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Third
3140B
Unranked
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.2
blue by 0.7
4265B
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach odds68%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds6%Capture odds