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Red108
396622.6
174639.8
1746B19.9
Blue109
426531.6
381424.0
314030.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878660708090100110120108109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
red by 8.1
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Second
3966
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
blue by 7.6
3140
Unranked
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto8.2
Teleop17.6
End4.5
Third
1746B
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
blue by 4.1
3814
Unranked
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
15%Capture odds2%Capture odds