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Red40
512515.2
502227.1
695915.6
Blue32
549229.0
285627.4
384434.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310101502004032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5022
Unranked
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End4.4
blue by 7.6
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
6959
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 13.4
5492
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Third
5125
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 12.2
2856
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach odds80%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds4%Capture odds