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Red82
492621.4
426531.6
3140B15.1
Blue79
4265B15.8
463024.4
325923.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716502040801001201401608279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 7.2
4630
Unranked
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Second
4926
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End3.4
blue by 2.5
3259
Unranked
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Third
3140B
Unranked
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.2
blue by 0.7
4265B
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach odds68%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds1%Capture odds