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Red89
150158.2
384316.2
395935.9
Blue63
381424.0
278335.5
396622.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119780501001502008963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
Unranked
58.20.0
58.258.2
Auto18.0
Teleop28.5
End11.7
red by 22.7
2783
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End4.0
Second
3959
Unranked
35.90.0
35.935.9
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
red by 11.9
3814
Unranked
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End6.1
Third
3843
Unranked
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 6.4
3966
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds77%Breach odds
Capture
10%Capture odds2%Capture odds