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Red90
384434.7
174639.8
512515.2
Blue82
396622.6
384316.2
426531.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96680501502009082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
red by 8.1
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Second
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
red by 12.1
3966
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Third
5125
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 1.0
3843
Unranked
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds2%Capture odds