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Red124
314030.3
492621.4
4265B15.8
Blue82
549229.0
502227.1
395935.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64100015020025030035040012482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
Unranked
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto8.2
Teleop17.6
End4.5
blue by 5.6
3959
Unranked
35.90.0
35.935.9
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Second
4926
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End3.4
blue by 7.6
5492
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Third
4265B
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End2.7
blue by 11.3
5022
Unranked
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds73%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds1%Capture odds