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Red95
395935.9
396622.6
325923.8
Blue50
384434.7
3140B15.1
502227.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867802040601001201401609550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
Unranked
35.90.0
35.935.9
Auto10.2
Teleop20.6
End5.1
red by 1.2
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
3259
Unranked
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
blue by 3.3
5022
Unranked
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Third
3966
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
red by 7.5
3140B
Unranked
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach odds73%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds5%Capture odds