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Red75
695915.6
426531.6
278335.5
Blue90
492621.4
285627.4
150158.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801150501001502002503007590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End4.0
blue by 22.7
1501
Unranked
58.20.0
58.258.2
Auto18.0
Teleop28.5
End11.7
Second
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 4.2
2856
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Third
6959
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 5.7
4926
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds26%Capture odds