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Red35
408717.3
431619.5
396111.3
Blue65
384727.9
394617.5
139815.4
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414802060801001203565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4316
#40
19.50.7
12.712.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End2.4
blue by 8.4
3847
#14
27.91.6
22.023.6
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End3.1
Second
4087
#30
17.30.7
16.716.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End1.9
blue by 0.2
3946
#18
17.51.6
11.613.2
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Third
3961
#47
11.30.5
11.511.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.0
End1.0
blue by 4.1
1398
#34
15.41.2
12.113.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed