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Qual 112016 Bayou Regional
Red61
192725.7
333719.5
218325.1
Blue57
586419.3
417916.0
45633.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45550204060806157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1927
#16
25.71.7
16.1→17.8
Auto4.2
Teleop18.0
End3.5
blue by 7.8
456
#5
33.50.6
27.2→27.8
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End5.9
Second
2183
#13
25.11.7
16.5→18.3
Auto5.8
Teleop16.2
End3.1
red by 5.7
5864
#42
19.30.6
13.2→13.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.9
Third
3337
#50
19.51.7
12.7→14.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 3.5
4179
#43
16.00.6
11.5→12.0
Auto2.3
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed