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Red85
586320.6
406338.4
595318.5
Blue30
578513.5
299223.0
599719.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55450204060801008530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.40.7
29.630.3
Auto10.0
Teleop21.6
End6.8
red by 15.4
2992
#10
23.01.7
19.417.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End3.0
Second
5863
#39
20.60.9
12.313.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.8
red by 1.0
5997
#22
19.61.7
15.013.3
Auto7.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Third
5953
#48
18.50.9
9.910.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 5.0
5785
#54
13.51.7
10.99.2
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed