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Qual 152016 Bayou Regional
Red53
581921.5
480513.9
303933.7
Blue66
164920.4
258731.7
375320.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5661405070805366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#4
33.70.2
28.5→28.3
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End4.6
red by 2.0
2587
#7
31.70.8
23.0→23.9
Auto9.4
Teleop16.9
End5.4
Second
5819
#17
21.50.3
13.5→13.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.2
red by 1.1
1649
#25
20.40.8
20.7→21.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End4.2
Third
4805
#33
13.90.3
13.3→13.0
Auto1.5
Teleop12.1
End0.3
blue by 6.1
3753
#35
20.00.8
14.8→15.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed