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Qual 162016 Bayou Regional
Red20
408717.3
59012.3
420913.0
Blue25
405312.7
610310.4
131923.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46500204060801001202025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4087
#30
17.32.8
16.0→13.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End1.9
blue by 6.2
1319
#31
23.52.6
23.2→20.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End5.3
Second
4209
#32
13.02.8
13.6→10.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.4
red by 0.3
4053
#46
12.72.6
14.0→11.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Third
590
#53
12.32.8
15.3→12.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
red by 1.9
6103
#51
10.42.6
10.9→8.3
Auto1.5
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed