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Red87
333719.5
348137.4
234126.5
Blue74
303933.7
541020.3
599719.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66610501001502008774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.5
31.132.6
Auto10.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
red by 3.6
3039
#4Sur
33.70.4
28.328.6
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End4.6
Second
2341
#29
26.52.1
17.819.9
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End4.0
red by 6.2
5410
#36
20.30.3
18.118.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End2.6
Third
3337
#50Sur
19.52.1
14.416.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Level
5997
#22
19.60.5
13.313.8
Auto7.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed