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Qual 212016 Bayou Regional
Red74
59012.3
399129.3
139815.4
Blue22
375320.0
410713.9
595318.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4057020801001201407422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3991
#11
29.33.6
17.0→20.6
Auto5.5
Teleop19.4
End4.4
red by 9.3
3753
#35Sur
20.03.4
20.6→17.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Second
1398
#34
15.43.1
9.5→12.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 3.1
5953
#48
18.56.3
18.5→12.2
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Third
590
#53Sur
12.33.6
15.2→18.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
blue by 1.6
4107
#49
13.93.4
16.4→13.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed