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Red71
361620.2
480513.9
258731.7
Blue60
431619.5
191227.0
420913.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5544020801007160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.72.1
23.926.0
Auto9.4
Teleop16.9
End5.4
red by 4.7
1912
#12
27.01.7
22.324.1
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End4.0
Second
3616
#37
20.22.1
15.417.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 0.8
4316
#40
19.51.7
12.013.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Third
4805
#33
13.92.1
12.915.0
Auto1.5
Teleop12.1
End0.3
red by 0.9
4209
#32
13.01.7
10.111.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed