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Qual 362016 Bayou Regional
Red50
435318.3
578513.5
581921.5
Blue20
586419.3
405312.7
410713.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323801020506070805020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5819
#17
21.52.0
13.3→15.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.2
red by 2.2
5864
#42
19.31.7
13.7→11.9
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.9
Second
4353
#26
18.32.0
9.2→11.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End3.1
red by 4.4
4107
#49
13.91.7
11.3→9.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Third
5785
#54
13.52.0
9.2→11.3
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End3.7
red by 0.8
4053
#46
12.71.7
10.7→8.9
Auto1.5
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
12%Breach oddsMissed17%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed