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Qual 512016 Bayou Regional
Red99
410713.9
142129.1
303933.7
Blue52
208019.6
394617.5
516823.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68500204060801009952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#4
33.71.7
28.2→29.9
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End4.6
red by 10.3
5168
#21
23.40.5
20.3→19.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.0
End3.7
Second
1421
#6
29.12.8
25.8→28.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.5
End5.0
red by 9.4
2080
#45
19.60.5
15.8→15.3
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Third
4107
#49
13.92.8
9.5→12.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
blue by 3.6
3946
#18
17.50.5
15.2→14.7
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed