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Red41
192011.4
361620.2
375320.0
Blue46
586419.3
181821.2
435318.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4340203050604146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#37
20.20.0
16.316.3
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 0.9
1818
#19
21.20.7
15.416.1
Auto7.7
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Second
3753
#35
20.00.0
16.516.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 0.7
5864
#42
19.30.7
11.111.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.9
Third
1920
#55DQ
11.40.0
8.38.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End0.6
blue by 6.9
4353
#26
18.30.7
13.013.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed