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Qual 672016 Bayou Regional
Red54
208019.6
361620.2
405312.7
Blue57
295012.6
394617.5
191227.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5050304060705457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#37
20.20.6
17.5→18.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 6.8
1912
#12
27.00.9
23.2→24.1
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End4.0
Second
2080
#45
19.60.6
20.1→20.7
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
red by 2.1
3946
#18
17.50.9
15.2→16.0
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Third
4053
#46
12.70.6
10.7→11.3
Auto1.5
Teleop9.5
End1.7
red by 0.1
2950
#44
12.60.9
10.3→11.2
Auto0.9
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed