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Red76
586419.3
399129.3
595318.5
Blue84
234126.5
181821.2
258731.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50710204060801001207684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3991
#11
29.32.6
23.926.4
Auto5.5
Teleop19.4
End4.4
blue by 2.4
31.71.4
26.427.8
Auto9.4
Teleop16.9
End5.4
Second
5864
#42
19.32.6
13.416.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.9
blue by 7.1
2341
#29
26.51.4
23.224.6
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End4.0
Third
5953
#48
18.52.6
14.116.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
blue by 2.6
1818
#19
21.21.4
16.017.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed