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Qual 692016 Bayou Regional
Red65
578513.5
410713.9
384727.9
Blue90
597115.7
23335.9
45633.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419502060801201406590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#14
27.91.7
24.9→26.6
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End3.1
blue by 8.0
233
#3
35.90.4
35.2→35.6
Auto10.7
Teleop19.9
End5.3
Second
4107
#49
13.91.7
12.3→14.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
blue by 19.6
456
#5
33.50.6
31.1→31.8
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End5.9
Third
5785
#54
13.51.7
11.0→12.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End3.7
blue by 2.2
5971
#23
15.70.6
17.7→18.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned