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Red32
532511.5
396111.3
587214.9
Blue102
142129.1
348137.4
480513.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289002040608010012014016032102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5872
#41
14.90.5
14.213.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.9
blue by 22.4
37.40.9
33.034.0
Auto10.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
Second
5325
#38
11.50.5
11.711.2
Auto1.8
Teleop7.9
End1.8
blue by 17.6
29.11.4
28.329.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Third
3961
#47
11.30.3
10.610.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.0
End1.0
blue by 2.6
4805
#33
13.91.4
16.718.1
Auto1.5
Teleop12.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed