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Qual 712016 Bayou Regional
Red54
360612.7
586320.6
581921.5
Blue84
497818.3
408717.3
406338.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47660204060801001205484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5819
#17
21.50.1
18.5→18.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.2
blue by 16.8
4063
#1
38.41.2
33.1→34.2
Auto10.0
Teleop21.6
End6.8
Second
5863
#39
20.60.1
18.4→18.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.8
red by 2.3
4978
#27
18.31.8
15.4→17.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.8
End3.3
Third
3606
#52
12.70.1
11.5→11.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.4
blue by 4.7
4087
#30
17.31.8
12.7→14.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed