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Red32
610310.4
192011.4
597115.7
Blue92
192725.7
303933.7
361620.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328002040601001201403292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5971
#23
15.70.6
18.317.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End2.1
blue by 18.1
33.71.4
29.130.5
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End4.6
Second
1920
#55
11.40.7
10.910.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End0.6
blue by 14.3
1927
#16
25.72.2
23.525.7
Auto4.2
Teleop18.0
End3.5
Third
6103
#51
10.40.7
9.28.6
Auto1.5
Teleop8.0
End0.9
blue by 9.8
3616
#37
20.22.1
18.120.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned